The
United States has long been the home of post-WW2 technical innovation,
entrepreneurship and venture capital. In part, this was generated by the huge
military R&D investments of that war and a post-war influx of hundreds of
thousands of engineers and scientists from the United Kingdom and Germany. The
boom of the 1950’s was led by the application of military R&D to consumer
products and, for most people, the advent of readily available credit. This was
the period of Harold Macmillans’ “You’ve
never had it so good” and the
German “Wirtschaftswunder” (economic miracle).
This
culture in the United States is there today, if somewhat buried by excessive
government spending, intervention, and the advent of the welfare state.
But,
the culture will resurface (this is the only way growth to reduce Federal debt
can occur), and it will do it on the back of its traditional skills
supplemented by:
· Cheap Energy – yes energy at a fraction of
Australian or European energy costs;
· Competitive devaluation of the US dollar;
· The world’s best intellectual property regime;
· New manufacturing technologies;
· Strategy designed to repatriate the innovation
and production of high end products;
· Cost inflation in China and other BRIC’s.
When?
2014
onwards.
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